The excitement period for the introduction of the photovoltaic benchmark electricity price policy has not yet passed, and the release of the "China PV Leveling Price Internet Roadmap" has pushed the industry to a new round of enthusiasm. "China's photovoltaic power generation is expected to achieve the level of Internet access for industrial and commercial use in 2014. In 2018, the residential level will be used to access the Internet, and in 2021, the power generation side will be connected to the Internet." This is the China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association Renewable Energy Committee. And the photovoltaic platform price online blueprint depicted in the “China PV Leveling Price Internet Roadmap†jointly produced by China Renewable Energy Enterprise Club. On August 12, Wang Sicheng, a researcher at the Energy Development Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that it is expected that the power generation cost of thermal power will be consistent with the cost of solar power generation by 2020. In 2020, the “road map†data for power generation side parity online shows that the electricity price of photovoltaic power generation will reach less than 1 yuan per kWh in 2015, and the average price on the power generation side will be reached around 2020. "The cost of solar power generation is declining year by year. We expect that the cost of power generation for thermal power will be consistent with the cost of solar power generation by 2020," Wang Sicheng said at the report. According to Wang Sicheng, according to the current development trend of China's photovoltaic industry, with the further improvement of technology and the comprehensive localization of equipment, by 2015, the initial investment will reach 12,000 yuan per kilowatt, and the power generation cost will be less than 1 yuan per kilowatt, first in distribution. The side reached the parity Internet access is completely sure to achieve; after efforts, the investment in early 2020 reached 10,000 yuan per kilowatt, the power generation cost reached 0.6 yuan per kWh, it is entirely possible to reach a parity online access on the power generation side. The “road map†predicts that by 2014, the price of industrial and commercial electricity will first exceed the on-grid price of photovoltaic power generation, and solar energy will be the first to achieve parity online; in 2018, the price of household electricity will exceed the price of photovoltaic power generation, and it will also achieve a cheap Internet access for terminal consumption; After 2021, the price of thermal power increased to 0.68 yuan per kWh, exceeding the on-grid price of photovoltaic power generation to reach the parity of the power generation side. However, it is understood that some people in the industry believe that the cost of photovoltaic power generation is consistent with thermal power and can come five years ahead of schedule. The source believes that in view of inflation and resource constraints, the cost of thermal power will increase year by year, and the cost of thermal power in coastal areas will be higher. It is expected that the cost of the two will be consistent in 2015. In the past five years, solar power generation has ushered in large-scale development . Photovoltaic power generation technology has matured. The conversion rate of silicon cells is increasing at a rate of 0.4% to 0.5% per year. The average factory efficiency of polycrystalline silicon photovoltaic modules is 16.5% to 16.8%. In the next two to three years, there will be an opportunity to increase by two percentage points, and the life of battery components has increased to more than 25 years. The cost of silicon wafers, batteries, components and systems is declining due to technological innovation, economies of scale and overall development of the global production chain. It is reported that solar cells account for more than 60% of the cost of photovoltaic power generation systems. Reducing the cost of solar cells is the main way to reduce the cost of solar power generation. From this point of view, solar power has already had the conditions for large-scale development. Meng Xianyu, vice chairman of the China Renewable Energy Society, said: "After the cost of photovoltaic power generation continues to decrease, and after achieving a low-cost Internet access on the power generation side in 2020, large-scale use will start." Energy industry researcher Ren Haoning pointed out that once PV achieves parity online This means that PV companies can make a profit without relying on subsidies. In the case of cheap Internet access, photovoltaic power generation will achieve the same cost advantage as coal power, and the environmental advantages of photovoltaic power generation are unmatched by coal power.
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